Cloud Cover Forecast Maps for North America - New 2022 Aug. 18
For some past events, I have posted cloud cover forecast maps, but with time constraints, I will rarely do that in the future. Expedition organizers, mobile observers, and others are encouraged to use the Web sites I use, given below. I find the best and most detailed models are the US GFS and European ECMWF forecasts, available from this Web site. Note that even though it has worldwide coverage, it uses North American Central Time, with Daylight time (CDT = UT - 5h) from 2am of the 2nd Sunday of March to the 1st Sunday of November; at other times, it is Standard time (CST = UT - 6h). Also, at this web site, cloud cover is not given in the default parameters; you need to select "All" parameters and scroll down to expand "Clouds" and select "Cloud cover". I find the GFS forecasts are a little better than the ECMWF ones, and GSF updates every 6h while ECMWF only updates every 12h. For both, you can zoom in by selecting a State or Province, and even a county. I find the easiest site to use, for the USA, is the National Weather Service (NWS) site. The main information you want is "Sky Cover". This site uses North American Eastern Time (EDT = UT - 4h) from 2am of the 2nd Sunday of March to the 1st Sunday of November; at other times, it is Standard time (EST = UT - 5h). The default map is of the "lower 48" US States, but you can select "Go to Region" to select a map showing several States, or one with individual States. Near the bottom of the "Region" menu are options for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and some other US territories. I find it generally too optimistic, but many astronomers prefer the Canadian Weather Forecast for astronomy, also called "Clear Dark Sky" and previously, "Clear Sky Clock". Most use it for individual sites, but it also has maps; I find the most useful to be the Sky Transparency maps that cover virtually all of Canada and the "lower 48" USA. The site uses Universal Time and is updated every 12h. Sometimes, the type of cloud cover matters. Relatively bright stars can often be recorded through high (cirrus) clouds, but not more opaque low or middle clouds. With the GFS and ECMWF forecasts, you can select middle or low clouds, to see if the cloud cover is only high clouds or not. Also, if the relative humidity is high, use of dew shields and other measures, such as finding paved or less vegetated observing sites, may be needed to combat ground fog. It is also useful to look at wind forecasts. David Dunham, 2022 August 18 e-mail: dunham@starpower.net cell phone: 301-526-5590